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Holdem Poker.

Many experts have the ability to figure out their rival’s online poker hand. This is the only main reason which makes them win always.

However, unknowingly it can occur that even when they know their rival’s hand they make the wrong play! It is true that you would be great at reading hands than be great as figuring the right play if you saw the others player’s cards. Still many good readers do not take the advantage of their ability.

Exposed hand problems work like this: You can see your rival’s cards but he cannot see your cards.

Moreover, he doesn’t know that you can see his cards. Therefore the only difference between this situation and your being able to read his cards is that there is no doubt at all about what he has.

Let’s take a complicated problem. The game is $10-$20 hold’em. You know that your rival is having

And the flop came:

Notice that the flop contains a two-flush. You have

in the hole, giving you three 6s altogether.
He bets, you raise and he re-raises. You call which makes him think you may have a flush draw. The card on the turn is

giving him three kings and you a full house. He bets again.
The question arises whether you should raise or just call. Remember there is still one card to come. It is not good enough to get the right answer. You must have a right reason.

In this problem, let’s assume you are against a typical player, i.e. if you raise on fourth poker street he will only call your raise and then check to you on the end if he does not improve. However, he might throw away his three kings under any circumstances.

Anyway, the correct answer is to raise. It is not just simply because you are having a full house. It is more complicated than that. It has to do with two hearts on the board. The answer would be different if there were no two-flush on the flop. Let’s take the variations with no two-flush. If the board was

you would do better in the long run if you only call his bet on fourth street and wait until the end to raise. If you do raise on fourth street your rival will just call and then check and call on the end if he does not improve.

You make two bets on fourth street and one bet on the end. If you call on fourth street, however, he will come out betting on the end and you can raise him now. This adds up to three bets i.e. one bet on fourth street and two bet on fifth poker street. The difference is what happens when he catches a king, a queen or a deuce on the end to fill up and beat you. Now, not raising on fourth street has saved you a bet.

Such kind of problems arises often in poker. That is, situations where both of two alternative plays will win the same amount when they do win but one of the alternatives loses less when it loses. The second alternative only loses one bet on fourth street while raising loses two bets.

Many readers would have thought that the right answer to the original problem was to call. However, they ignored the fact that there were two hearts on the flop, and that you know your rival suspects you may have a flush draw.

Why does this change thing? Lets’ analyze it.
If you call on fourth street, you may save a bet (as against a raise) if a king, queen or deuce falls. Hence, there are seven cards that can come off on the end that will make you happy you just called on fourth street. But suppose a heart falls on the end (other than the K♥ or Q♥)?
These hearts will scare him into checking and calling even if you didn’t raise on fourth street. If you did raise, we assume he will check and call on the end when the heart comes. There are nine such scare cards. When one of these nine cards comes on the end your flat call on fourth street has cost you a bet.

In simple words, there are seven cards that can come on the end that make a call on fourth street one bet better for you, but nine cards that make a call one bet worse. The other cards that can come make you three bets either way.

Thus assuming that the rival will play his hand as expected it is better to raise.

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